“In hand today are technologies and know-how to substantially improve the way we manage tropical coastal seas, but they aren’t applied effectively and as a result many management initiatives fail. While integrated coastal management has been discussed for years, too much of the management of tropical coasts is piecemeal, short-term, and done with little effort to ensure gains made are permanently secured. In meeting the challenges to come, more of the same is simply not good enough.” - Johann Bell, Wollongong University, Australia
“We’d be naïve to imply that success will come easily. It won’t. Changing management practice to the extent, and at the scale we propose will require very careful, sustained attention to socio- economic and governance dynamics. This is a major challenge for governments, for NGOs, for the multinational sector, and for coastal communities. And it needs to be tackled now.” - Patrick Christie, University of Washington, Seattle, USA
“Humanity has the capacity to substantially improve coastal management; the futures of many millions of people living on tropical coasts depend on us collectively rising to that challenge.” - David Obura, CORDIO East Africa, Kenya
Background
Worldwide, the 100 km wide coastal strip comprises 21% of all land, occupied by over 2.6 billion people at densities ranging from less than 20 to more than 15,000 per sq. km (average: 97). That’s over twice the density of inland regions (41 per sq. km).
Over half these people (1.36 billion) live on tropical coasts (just 7% of all land) at even higher densities (averaging 145 per sq. km). Tropical coasts hold 9 of 19 coastal megacities (over 10 million), and are most densely populated (mean: 198 per sq. km) in South and Southeast Asia In the world’s tropics, the coastal population is expected to grow 45% to 1.95 billion people by 2050, while the number of people occupying the inland tropics will grow by 71% to 2.26 billion.
However, the total area of inland tropical land is four times that of coastal regions, so tropical population density in 2050 is projected to be 57 per sq. km inland; 199 on coasts.
Coastal communities will generate increased local environmental stresses, although improved management may keep some or all of this increase unrealized.
Co-authors:
Canada
• Peter F. Sale, UN University Institute for Water, Environment and Health, Hamilton ON
USA
• Patrick Christie, University of Washington, Seattle WA
• Tundi Agardy, Sound Seas, Bethesda, MD
• Edward H. Allison, University of Washington, Seattle, WA
• Cameron H. Ainsworth, University of South Florida, St. Petersburg, FL
• Blake E. Feist, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Seattle, WA
• Phillip S. Levin, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Seattle, WA
• Kenyon C. Lindeman, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL
• Kai Lorenzen, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL
• Robert S. Pomeroy, University of Connecticut-Avery Point, Groton, CT
United Kingdom
• Tim M. Daw, University of East Anglia, Norwich / and Stockholm University, Sweden
• Alasdair J. Edwards, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne
• Charles R.C. Sheppard, University of Warwick, Coventry
Sweden
• Megan I. Saunders, Stockholm University
• Tim M. Daw, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK / Stockholm University
Australia
• Johann D. Bell, Wollongong University (co-author was previously with the Secretariat of the Pacific Community, New Caledonia)
• Ove Hoegh-Guldberg, University of Queensland, St. Lucia
• Peter J. Mumby, University of Queensland, St. Lucia
• Jennifer Corrin, University of Queensland, St. Lucia
• David A. Feary, University of Technology, Sydney
• Simon J. Foale, James Cook University, Townsville
• R.H. Bradbury, Australian National University, Canberra
Kenya
• Melita A. Samoilys, CORDIO East Africa, Mombasa
• David O. Obura, CORDIO East Africa, Mombasa
China
• Yvonne J. Sadovy de Mitcheson, University of Hong Kong
The United Nations University – Institute for Water, Environment and Health is a member of the United Nations University family of organizations. It is the UN Think Tank on Water created by the UNU Governing Council in 1996. The mission of the institute is to contribute to efforts to resolve pressing regional and global water challenges that are of concern to the United Nations, its Member States, and their people, through targeted research, capacity development, knowledge enhancement and transfer, and public outreach. It is hosted by the Government of Canada and McMaster University.